Hasil Plagiarisme Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators Against the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) in Indonesia: Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Approach

Kurniawan, Mahrus Lutfi Adi Hasil Plagiarisme Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators Against the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) in Indonesia: Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Approach. Journal of Ecomics Research and Social Sciences, 5 (2). ISSN E-2723-5327, P: 2723-5319 (Unpublished)

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Abstract

The Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is one indicator to determine economic growth. The Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is formed by counting the stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Macroeconomic conditions can influence the movement of the CSPI in a country. Macroeconomic indicators that affect the CSPI include inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates represented by the BI rate. This study aimed to determine how much influence the selected macroeconomic indicators had on the CSPI and determine the CSPI movement forecast. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) as an estimation method. The research shows that the inflation, exchange rate, and BI rate variables do not affect the CSPI in the short term, and only the exchange rate variable affects the long term. Forecasting performed on variables shows an over-optimistic forecast for the exchange rate and BI rate variables.

Item Type: Artikel Umum
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisi / Prodi: Faculty of Economics (Fakultas Ekonomi) > S1-Economic Development (S1 Ekonomi Pembangunan)
Depositing User: Rifki Khoirudin
Date Deposited: 07 Jan 2023 07:23
Last Modified: 07 Jan 2023 07:23
URI: http://eprints.uad.ac.id/id/eprint/38524

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